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9 min readFebruary 19, 2025

Space Regulation 2026: Key Developments and Predictions

What's ahead for space regulation in 2026? EU Space Act, NIS2 enforcement, and emerging trends.

Correction (August 2026): The February 2025 draft of this note assumed COM(2025) 335 would already be adopted in 2025. It was not. The EU Space Act remains a proposal and is not in force. Read What actually binds space operators in 2026 for the live map.

The space regulatory landscape is still moving. Here is an updated orientation — not a prediction sold as fact.

EU Space Act (proposal)

  • 2025: Commission proposal published (COM(2025) 335)
  • 2026: Legislative process continues (Council and Parliament amendment tracks may still be open)
  • Entry into force and transition: only after adoption and publication — do not treat 2030 as a licence you already hold

NIS2

NIS2 is transposed national law, not a 2030 Space Act problem. Audits, penalties, and evidence depend on your member-state implementation and classification — have counsel confirm, do not copy a blog timeline into a filing.

Adjacent files that keep moving

In-orbit servicing, active debris removal, and space traffic management are attracting dedicated rules. Treat those as separate instruments. Do not fold them into “the Space Act requires…” until a cited text says so.

What to do this year

1. Inventory live duties (NIS2, national authorization, insurance, export, spectrum). 2. Keep a proposal-watch on COM(2025) 335 without treating it as a licence. 3. Put counsel on determinations; use software for the file.

Preparation is still the point. Pretending the proposal is already law is not.

Regulation2026TrendsFuture
V.i.S.d.P. (§ 18 Abs. 2 MStV): Caelex · Caelex, Am Maselakepark 37, 13587 Berlin, Deutschland · Kontakt: legal@caelex.eu

Next step

Run the structured assessment for a map of obligation clusters, or book a walkthrough. The result is a file to review with counsel — not a licence and not legal advice.

Space Regulation 2026: Key Developments and Predictions | Caelex