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Systems · Ephemeris

See the breach before the date.

Ephemeris is predictive compliance intelligence: every satellite as a living twin, obligations projected forward in time — so you act on a calendar, not a surprise.

Not a score

Dated risk

When a threshold fails — not a 0–100 vanity number.

Not a snapshot

Trajectory

Where the twin is heading under physics and ops reality.

Not a silo

Fleet + regime

Assets and obligations in one continuous map.

The idea

Know the date — not just the status.

What it is

Twin + horizon + thresholds

Feel it

Scrub the horizon. Watch the threshold approach.

Drag the timeline. An illustrative reserve curve crosses a planning threshold — the same mental model Ephemeris applies to real twins: a date you can work against.

Illustrative scenario

Propellant reserve · single spacecraft · 5-year horizon

Not live fleet data

0%25%50%70%NowY1Y2Y3Y4Y5Reserve threshold 15%

Readout

Horizon position
Day 180· 0.5y
Reserve (model)
46.6%
Days to threshold
353

Still above threshold — time left to plan burns, insurance, or authorization updates before the crossing date.

The system

Four instruments. One horizon.

Twin

Per satellite

Orbital state and operational parameters as a continuous object — not a spreadsheet row.

Horizon

Up to 5 years

Project reserve, decay, and calendar obligations far enough to plan, not just report.

Physics

Orbit-aware

Atmospheric drag and space-weather context where lifetime and disposal windows matter.

Map

Multi-regime

National rules, NIS2 themes, debris guidelines — plus preparation for proposed EU layers.

Capabilities

What Ephemeris can do.

Built for operators who need a dated path to action — counsel, ops, and leadership reading the same horizon.

01

Digital twin

Each satellite modeled from catalog orbital elements and operator context — a single object the rest of the system reasons over.

02

Compliance forecasting

Project when a threshold is first crossed: reserve floors, disposal timelines, certification windows — dated, not scored.

03

Orbital decay

Altitude and lifetime trajectories that respect atmospheric drag and solar-flux context for LEO disposal planning.

04

Fleet intelligence

See the constellation as a system: which asset is the weakest link, and when the first fleet-level problem lands.

05

Space weather context

Geomagnetic and solar activity as inputs to decay and operations planning — not a separate weather widget.

06

What-if paths

Stress a burn plan or delayed service: how does the crossing date move before you commit the ops change.

Inputs

Grounded in public catalogs and your ops context.

Catalog feeds and weather indices set the physics backdrop; operator telemetry and mission context (where available via Sentinel and your workspace) parameterize the twin.

CelesTrak

TLE / orbital element refreshes for catalog objects

ESA DISCOS

European catalog context for objects & debris

NOAA SWPC

Solar flux and geomagnetic indices for decay context

Regulatory map

Threshold themes from national, NIS2, and proposed EU rules

The shift

Old question

“Are we compliant today?”

Ephemeris question

“When is the first breach — and for which obligation?”

Next

Put a horizon on your fleet.

Book a consult to walk a sample twin, or start with a free obligation map for your operating profile.

General product information — not legal advice. Forecast demos on this page are illustrative. EU Space Act references describe the Commission proposal (COM(2025) 335), still in co-legislation as of 2026.

Ephemeris — Predictive compliance intelligence | Caelex | Caelex — Regulatory OS for the orbital economy